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May 03, 2024

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15% off for Fast Running Blog members at St. George Running Center!

Location:

Salt Lake City,UT,United States

Member Since:

Sep 14, 2008

Gender:

Male

Goal Type:

Local Elite

Running Accomplishments:

52 marathons, Overall winner 15 times, PR 2:20:25 at St. George 2013, Kona Ironman 2002, Zero DNF

2016 Races

Personal:

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Miles:This week: 0.00 Month: 0.00 Year: 0.00
Bike Lifetime Miles: 8003.27
Elliptical Lifetime Miles: 1295.72
Stairmaster Lifetime Miles: 3252.63
Rowing Machine Lifetime Miles: 335.05
Swimming Lifetime Miles: 14.97
Treadmill Lifetime Miles: 1111.92
Saucony Kinvara 2 Grey Lifetime Miles: 994.29
Saucony Kinvara 2 Blue Lifetime Miles: 528.18
Salomon SpeedCross III Lifetime Miles: 263.03
La Sportiva Vertical K Lifetime Miles: 78.50
Nike LunaRacer +3 Lifetime Miles: 129.20
Nike LunarLaunch Lifetime Miles: 319.30
Nike Pegasus 31 Light Blue Lifetime Miles: 640.75
Altra Lone Peak 2.5 Lifetime Miles: 99.50
Nike LunaRacer V3 Camo Lifetime Miles: 76.02
New Balance 890v4 Lifetime Miles: 41.25
Nike Pegasus 33 Lifetime Miles: 12.00
Tue, Nov 29, 2011
Easy MilesMarathon Pace MilesThreshold MilesVO2 Max MilesCrosstraining milesTotal Miles
8.600.000.000.000.008.60

My friend said he would pay me $25 for running a sub 1:10 through the half this weekend and my entire trip if I qualify.  Something tells me that $25 may not be enough to risk a complete blow up and/or hospitalization.  Expected payoff if I dare to run a sub 1:10 is $52.50.

Distance Time Probability Payoff Expected Payoff
Half sub 1:10 90% $25 $22.50
Full sub 2:19 3% $1,000 $30.00
        $52.50

 

Treadmill Miles: 8.60Saucony Kinvara 2 Grey Miles: 8.60
Comments
From allie on Tue, Nov 29, 2011 at 13:03:26 from 161.38.218.168

it sounds like a pretty good deal...think of how much chocolate milk you could buy.

From Jake K on Tue, Nov 29, 2011 at 13:05:48 from 155.100.226.53

Do you get the $25 in addition to the cost of the entire trip if you qualify? The double dip?

From Fritz on Tue, Nov 29, 2011 at 14:29:54 from 65.116.116.6

Yes I would be double dipping. I think the intent of the payoff matrix was to give me a small incentive to go for it, while not costing him much, and for the real reward to only come if I pull it off, which has an extremely low if not 0 probability. As I see it he is only risking $52.50. See calculation above.

From Jake K on Tue, Nov 29, 2011 at 14:40:30 from 155.100.226.53

I will up the ante and offer you FREE ENTRY to any random track races that we put on next year if you run the SECOND half of the race under 1:10!

From Rob on Tue, Nov 29, 2011 at 15:22:00 from 186.215.147.164

I'll buy you lunch at Jimmy John's!

From allie on Sun, Dec 04, 2011 at 12:32:13 from 67.137.239.242

i see you just made $25. 1:08:47. go fritz!

From Rob on Sun, Dec 04, 2011 at 13:02:09 from 204.15.86.95

Where are you tracking it allie?

From Lulu Walls on Sun, Dec 04, 2011 at 13:03:22 from 64.134.223.135

It is here:

http://www.flashresults.com/2012_Meets/CIM/athletetracking/

1:46:21 at 20 miles - holy crap!!!

From allie on Sun, Dec 04, 2011 at 13:07:51 from 67.137.239.242

http://www.flashresults.com/2012_Meets/CIM/athletetracking/

still right on pace through 20 miles...

From allie on Sun, Dec 04, 2011 at 13:08:36 from 67.137.239.242

sorry...didn't see your comment lulu. :)

From Rob on Sun, Dec 04, 2011 at 13:10:45 from 204.15.86.95

Thanks guys, Wow! It's going to be close. Go Fritz.

From Rob on Sun, Dec 04, 2011 at 13:28:21 from 204.15.86.95

1 minute PR, pretty freakin' good.

From allie on Sun, Dec 04, 2011 at 13:30:02 from 67.137.239.242

i agree. that was an awesome race, fritz.

From Lulu Walls on Sun, Dec 04, 2011 at 13:38:35 from 64.134.223.135

That was more exciting than football :)

From Andrea on Sun, Dec 04, 2011 at 13:41:02 from 67.177.21.60

So exciting!!! What a great time!

From Jake K on Sun, Dec 04, 2011 at 13:41:11 from 67.177.21.60

Another PR! Awesome run Fritz! Really happy for you.

From Teena Marie on Sun, Dec 04, 2011 at 14:06:24 from 174.27.201.172

WOW!!!!!! :) :) :)

From Fritz on Sun, Dec 04, 2011 at 14:33:44 from 74.82.64.144

Thanks for the play by play. Sorry I couldn't pull it off. When I was a kid my excuse while skiing was that I didn't want to break my butterfinger. Today I figured a well run 2:21 was more boring than a fast half then a few wobbly miles at the end to end in 2:23:30.

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